Published today on kurzweilai.net:
“Why We Can Be Confident of Turing Test Capability Within a Quarter Century,” by Ray Kurzweil, excerpted from his book, “The Singularity is Near, When Humans Transcend Biology.”
Ray Kurzweil will present this paper at “The Dartmouth Artificial Intelligence Conference: The next 50 years” (AI@50) in Hanover, NH on Friday July 14, 2006.
The article is a richly annotated overview of where we are with AI now, and how Kurzweil thinks we’ll get to strong AI by 2029. Kurzweil fails to transmit his confidence in a particular date to me, but it’s still a very interesting article on hybrid human/machine problem-solving techniques, and a plausible path forward to strong AI.
Terminology note: the “G, N, R” revolution triplet Kurzweil refers to is “genetics, nanotechnology, robotics.”